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Red103
364130.1
354628.7
589541.2
Blue47
957621.7
349427.2
94214.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11955010015010347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#12
41.20.1
41.641.5
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 14.1
3494
#34
27.20.7
28.327.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
3641
#54
30.10.1
28.228.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.1
End3.3
red by 8.3
9576
#35
21.70.7
22.922.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
Third
3546
#50
28.70.1
29.829.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
red by 23.9
9421
#71
4.80.7
5.75.1
Auto5.3
Teleop-1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsEarned