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Red117
632853.4
312831.8
125028.4
Blue60
178131.7
594049.2
958412.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711040608010014016018020011760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.2
50.550.7
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 4.2
49.22.7
52.349.6
Auto15.7
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Second
3128
#23
31.80.2
28.028.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 0.1
1781
#47
31.72.7
34.732.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End1.5
Third
1250
#37
28.40.2
26.126.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 15.5
9584
#27
12.92.7
13.210.6
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed