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Red73
821422.7
15723.2
20807.6
Blue82
571524.6
50921.8
317536.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4810101507382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#49
23.21.4
22.924.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 13.4
3175
#13
36.60.2
39.339.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
8214
#66
22.71.4
21.823.2
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
blue by 1.9
5715
#43
24.60.2
25.124.9
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Third
2080
#75
7.61.4
5.26.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 14.1
509
#10
21.80.2
20.520.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned