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Qual 1132024 Hopper Division
Red111
580935.9
859228.1
815925.6
Blue104
771223.5
283424.7
81832.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9087406080100120140111104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#42
35.92.0
30.8→32.8
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
red by 3.7
818
#45
32.21.0
31.7→32.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Second
8592
#59
28.12.0
26.6→28.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
red by 3.5
2834
#41
24.71.0
24.1→25.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End3.4
Third
8159
#44
25.62.0
23.6→25.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
red by 2.1
7712
#32
23.51.0
22.8→23.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned