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Red49
59937.8
167123.3
49832.2
Blue86
861332.2
478625.9
490929.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69107501502004986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#48
32.21.2
33.432.2
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 0.1
8613
#39
32.20.8
34.233.4
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Second
1671
#36
23.31.2
24.523.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 6.5
4909
#11
29.90.8
31.731.0
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
5993
#67
7.81.2
9.07.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 18.1
4786
#25
25.90.8
26.725.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed