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Red120
132538.8
312831.8
958412.9
Blue85
10831.4
253120.2
313419.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847620406010012014012085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.3
36.438.7
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
red by 7.5
108
#19
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End1.9
Second
3128
#23
31.82.3
28.230.5
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 11.6
2531
#21
20.20.4
19.920.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Third
9584
#27
12.92.3
10.612.9
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
blue by 6.3
3134
#53
19.20.4
18.819.2
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed