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Red79
96948.9
857630.4
68736.0
Blue110
945514.0
50921.8
632853.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809420406012014016079110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#28
36.00.0
35.035.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
blue by 17.4
53.41.4
50.752.1
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
8576
#31
30.40.0
30.530.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.9
End3.0
red by 8.7
509
#10
21.81.4
20.321.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
Third
9694
#58
8.90.0
8.98.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 5.1
9455
#61
14.01.4
12.614.0
Auto8.2
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsEarned