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Red113
209621.0
8839.4
427033.4
Blue72
349427.2
859228.1
821422.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998620406012014016011372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#24
39.41.3
36.537.9
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1
red by 11.3
8592
#59
28.10.5
28.628.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
Second
4270
#26
33.41.3
32.133.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
red by 6.3
3494
#34
27.20.5
27.727.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Third
2096
#30
21.01.3
19.721.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 1.7
8214
#66
22.70.5
23.222.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed