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Red110
18042.4
771223.5
178131.7
Blue51
829810.1
657421.3
20807.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1232705010015020011051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
42.40.3
43.843.5
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 21.1
6574
#52
21.31.0
20.321.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Second
1781
#47
31.70.3
32.031.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End1.5
red by 21.6
8298
#70
10.11.0
9.110.1
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
7712
#32
23.50.3
23.823.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 15.9
2080
#75
7.61.0
6.67.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed