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Red59
125028.4
362710.6
861332.2
Blue84
589541.2
209621.0
97267.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787102040601001201405984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#39
32.21.7
28.827.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 9.0
5895
#12
41.20.9
37.938.9
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Second
1250
#37
28.41.4
30.328.9
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 7.4
2096
#30
21.00.9
19.520.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Third
3627
#68
10.61.4
10.59.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 3.6
9726
#69
7.00.9
7.48.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed