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Red79
815925.6
300634.7
19216.2
Blue66
661524.8
96948.9
30228.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7864020401001201407966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3006
#18
34.70.7
32.633.2
Auto10.5
Teleop21.4
End2.8
red by 6.2
302
#56
28.40.3
25.425.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
8159
#44
25.60.7
22.723.4
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
red by 0.8
6615
#73
24.80.3
23.823.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
192
#60
16.20.7
13.914.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.2
red by 7.3
9694
#58
8.90.3
10.510.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed