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Red100
580935.9
571524.6
49832.2
Blue106
423039.3
752527.8
448142.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98116406080140160180100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#42
35.90.7
30.729.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
blue by 6.5
4481
#14
42.40.2
40.140.3
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Second
498
#48
32.20.7
36.836.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 7.1
39.30.2
35.235.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End3.4
Third
5715
#43
24.60.7
23.522.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 3.2
7525
#46
27.80.2
27.527.7
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed