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Red59
859228.1
94298.2
15723.2
Blue91
490929.9
335738.9
364130.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531211001505991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#59
28.10.2
25.726.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
blue by 10.8
3357
#17
38.90.7
41.941.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Second
157
#49
23.20.2
20.420.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 6.9
3641
#54
30.10.7
30.329.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.1
End3.3
Third
9429
#72
8.20.2
9.69.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 21.7
4909
#11
29.90.7
29.228.5
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsMissed