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Red53
66529.6
283424.7
889116.4
Blue108
349427.2
818822.6
312831.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40101020608012014016053108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#41
24.70.6
21.722.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End3.4
blue by 7.2
3128
#23
31.81.0
32.733.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
8891
#64
16.40.6
17.418.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 10.7
3494
#34
27.21.0
28.229.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Third
6652
#65
9.60.6
4.75.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 13.0
8188
#33
22.61.0
23.424.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned