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Red92
6827.2
427033.4
664727.1
Blue99
632853.4
253120.2
657421.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929270801001101209299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#26
33.40.1
31.331.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
blue by 20.0
53.40.8
48.649.3
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
68
#51
27.20.1
28.028.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 5.9
6574
#52
21.30.8
16.016.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
6647
#29
27.10.1
24.924.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.6
End1.3
red by 6.9
2531
#21
20.20.8
17.918.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned