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Red88
958412.9
81832.2
50921.8
Blue105
19216.2
3343.9
441449.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312005010015020088105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#45
32.21.0
31.632.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
blue by 17.3
49.50.1
48.248.1
Auto18.1
Teleop25.6
End5.9
Second
509
#10
21.81.0
19.620.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
blue by 22.2
33
#1
43.90.1
39.139.0
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
Third
9584
#27
12.91.0
12.513.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
blue by 3.4
192
#60
16.20.1
14.614.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsEarned