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Qual 312024 Hopper Division
Red71
15723.2
317536.6
167123.3
Blue57
889116.4
237031.1
752527.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868202003004005006007008007157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#13
36.60.4
33.6→33.2
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 5.4
2370
#38
31.11.5
28.7→27.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Second
1671
#36
23.30.4
22.8→22.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 4.5
7525
#46
27.81.5
27.7→26.2
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Third
157
#49
23.20.4
20.6→20.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End2.5
red by 6.7
8891
#64
16.41.5
18.1→16.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed