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Red21
94298.2
570517.3
957621.7
Blue105
313419.2
801341.7
478625.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578820408010012014021105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#35
21.72.3
23.921.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 19.9
41.71.3
37.538.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
Second
5705
#74
17.32.3
21.719.4
Auto9.9
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 8.6
4786
#25
25.91.3
18.920.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Third
9429
#72
8.22.3
9.87.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 11.0
3134
#53
19.21.3
19.320.6
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed