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Red99
337410.2
632853.4
10831.4
Blue91
300634.7
349427.2
861332.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019960801201409991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.2
49.349.5
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 18.8
3006
#18
34.70.6
33.232.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.4
End2.8
Second
108
#19
31.40.2
29.930.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End1.9
blue by 0.8
8613
#39
32.20.6
27.126.5
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Third
3374
#57
10.20.2
11.511.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 17.0
3494
#34
27.20.6
29.128.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsEarned