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Red101
3343.9
125028.4
859228.1
Blue48
889116.4
945514.0
19535.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096520408010012014016010148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
43.90.5
39.039.5
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
red by 8.4
195
#63
35.51.2
37.536.2
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Second
1250
#37
28.40.5
28.228.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 11.9
8891
#64
16.41.2
16.615.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
8592
#59
28.10.5
26.226.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
red by 14.1
9455
#61
14.01.2
10.39.1
Auto8.2
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed