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Red72
6827.2
94214.8
81832.2
Blue74
209621.0
167123.3
857630.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737502040601001201401607274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#45
32.20.4
32.532.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
8576
#31
30.40.4
23.824.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.9
End3.0
Second
68
#51
27.20.4
28.227.8
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 3.9
1671
#36
23.30.4
22.422.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Third
9421
#71
4.80.4
5.34.9
Auto5.3
Teleop-1.8
End1.3
blue by 16.1
2096
#30
21.00.4
21.121.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed