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Red30
337410.2
821422.7
45628.3
Blue94
253120.2
815925.6
331038.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7187204060801001201401603094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#22
28.32.6
28.325.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
blue by 10.1
3310
#20
38.40.8
35.336.1
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
Second
8214
#66
22.72.6
26.323.8
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
blue by 2.9
8159
#44
25.60.8
20.921.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Third
3374
#57
10.22.6
11.79.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 10.1
2531
#21
20.20.8
20.821.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsMissed