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Red75
313419.2
957621.7
49832.2
Blue68
283424.7
427033.4
661524.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85874060801001207568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#48
32.20.1
35.034.9
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 1.3
4270
#26
33.41.2
30.729.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
Second
9576
#35
21.70.1
21.621.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 3.1
6615
#73
24.81.2
24.423.2
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
3134
#53
19.20.1
20.620.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 5.5
2834
#41
24.71.2
23.222.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed