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Red62
570517.3
209621.0
571524.6
Blue133
121830.6
490929.9
132538.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810302040608012014016062133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#43
24.60.6
24.323.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 14.2
38.82.6
33.936.5
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
Second
2096
#30
21.00.6
21.520.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 9.6
1218
#15
30.62.6
26.629.2
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End4.3
Third
5705
#74
17.30.6
19.518.9
Auto9.9
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 12.6
4909
#11
29.92.6
28.330.9
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned