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Red118
589541.2
771223.5
752527.8
Blue78
354628.7
140333.8
821422.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941032040608012014016018011878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#12
41.21.8
38.440.2
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 7.5
1403
#16
33.81.1
35.734.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
7525
#46
27.81.8
26.428.2
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
blue by 0.9
3546
#50
28.71.1
32.831.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
Third
7712
#32
23.51.8
21.323.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 0.8
8214
#66
22.71.1
23.822.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed