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Red112
204641.8
45628.3
349427.2
Blue93
313419.2
15723.2
178131.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10679406012014016018011293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.3
38.639.9
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
red by 10.0
1781
#47
31.71.2
33.634.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End1.5
Second
456
#22
28.31.3
25.727.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
red by 5.2
157
#49
23.21.2
20.922.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Third
3494
#34
27.21.3
28.830.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
red by 8.0
3134
#53
19.21.2
20.421.6
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed