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Red77
253120.2
337410.2
448142.4
Blue82
957621.7
18042.4
59937.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79820501001502002507782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#14
42.40.4
40.741.1
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Level
180
#3
42.40.6
43.243.8
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
2531
#21
20.20.4
21.622.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 1.5
9576
#35
21.70.6
21.522.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
Third
3374
#57
10.20.4
9.29.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 2.4
5993
#67
7.80.6
8.89.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed