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Red73
427033.4
364130.1
523223.1
Blue87
580935.9
300634.7
50921.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909370801001101207387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#26
33.40.7
29.528.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
blue by 2.5
5809
#42
35.90.1
31.531.5
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
Second
3641
#54
30.10.7
29.228.4
Auto5.6
Teleop21.1
End3.3
blue by 4.6
3006
#18
34.70.1
31.631.5
Auto10.5
Teleop21.4
End2.8
Third
5232
#55
23.10.7
23.222.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.6
End1.6
red by 1.3
509
#10
21.80.1
20.820.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsMissed