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Red82
19535.5
815925.6
207920.0
Blue109
632853.4
66529.6
801341.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711220406010012014016082109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#63
35.51.2
36.235.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
blue by 17.9
53.40.3
49.850.2
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
8159
#44
25.61.2
21.720.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 16.1
41.70.3
40.040.3
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
Third
2079
#62
20.01.2
15.814.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
red by 10.4
6652
#65
9.60.3
7.17.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed87%Ensemble oddsEarned