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Red108
81832.2
331038.4
657421.3
Blue129
490929.9
317536.6
589541.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112350100150200108129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#20
38.41.3
35.436.8
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
blue by 2.8
5895
#12
41.21.4
40.241.6
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Second
818
#45
32.21.3
32.734.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
blue by 4.4
3175
#13
36.61.4
36.738.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
6574
#52
21.31.3
17.819.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 8.6
4909
#11
29.91.4
30.932.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsEarned