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Red76
140333.8
958412.9
209621.0
Blue42
167123.3
889116.4
94298.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814702040601001201407642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#16
33.80.9
34.633.7
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 10.4
1671
#36
23.30.6
24.123.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
2096
#30
21.00.9
20.920.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
red by 4.5
8891
#64
16.40.6
15.214.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
9584
#27
12.90.9
13.812.9
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
red by 4.7
9429
#72DQ
8.20.6
7.06.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed