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Red94
125028.4
801341.7
594049.2
Blue35
20807.6
204641.8
167123.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15273501002009435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.3
56.454.1
Auto15.7
Teleop26.8
End6.7
red by 7.5
41.83.0
41.638.6
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
Second
41.72.3
39.437.1
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
red by 18.3
1671
#36
23.33.0
25.022.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Third
1250
#37
28.42.3
32.630.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 20.7
2080
#75
7.63.0
8.95.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
93%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed