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Red84
178131.7
571524.6
337410.2
Blue79
19535.5
81832.2
94298.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6792204060801001201408479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#47
31.71.4
31.632.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End1.5
blue by 3.8
195
#63
35.50.4
36.436.0
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Second
5715
#43
24.61.4
22.223.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 7.6
818
#45
32.20.4
34.033.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Third
3374
#57
10.21.4
9.811.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 2.0
9429
#72
8.20.4
10.09.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed