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Red106
801341.7
96948.9
427033.4
Blue87
15723.2
861332.2
59937.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916220408010012014010687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.1
40.340.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
red by 9.5
8613
#39
32.20.1
28.128.2
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Second
4270
#26
33.40.1
28.828.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
red by 10.3
157
#49
23.20.1
22.122.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Third
9694
#58
8.90.1
9.59.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
red by 1.1
5993
#67
7.80.1
9.49.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed