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Red82
50921.8
18042.4
204641.8
Blue51
752527.8
283424.7
94214.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1255101001508251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
42.41.5
43.842.3
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 14.6
7525
#46
27.80.4
28.227.7
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Second
41.81.5
39.938.4
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
red by 17.1
2834
#41
24.70.4
20.920.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End3.4
Third
509
#10
21.81.5
20.719.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
red by 16.9
9421
#71
4.80.4
6.15.7
Auto5.3
Teleop-1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed