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Red103
121830.6
10831.4
354628.7
Blue73
859228.1
45628.3
448142.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910740608012014016010373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#19
31.40.2
29.830.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End1.9
blue by 11.0
4481
#14
42.41.5
41.139.5
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Second
1218
#15
30.60.2
29.229.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End4.3
red by 2.2
456
#22
28.31.5
27.025.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Third
3546
#50
28.70.2
31.731.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
red by 0.6
8592
#59
28.11.5
27.926.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed