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Qual 822024 Hopper Division
Red110
448142.4
94214.8
132538.8
Blue105
331038.4
66529.6
30228.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9180050100150200110105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#14
42.40.1
39.5→39.5
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
red by 4.0
3310
#20
38.41.8
36.8→38.5
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
Second
1325
#5
38.80.1
35.6→35.6
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
red by 10.4
302
#56
28.41.8
28.4→30.1
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Third
9421
#71
4.80.1
5.7→5.7
Auto5.3
Teleop-1.8
End1.3
blue by 4.8
6652
#65
9.61.8
8.5→10.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned