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Red73
45628.3
815925.6
121830.6
Blue102
427033.4
752527.8
68736.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110305015073102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#15
30.60.2
29.529.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 5.5
687
#28
36.00.8
33.834.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
Second
456
#22
28.30.2
25.425.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
blue by 5.1
4270
#26
33.40.8
28.929.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
Third
8159
#44
25.60.2
21.321.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 2.2
7525
#46
27.80.8
27.728.5
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed