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Red102
8839.4
19216.2
957621.7
Blue129
861332.2
317536.6
19535.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71121050100150200102129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#24
39.42.1
34.136.2
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1
red by 2.9
3175
#13
36.61.7
38.139.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
9576
#35
21.72.1
21.723.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 13.8
195
#63
35.51.7
37.038.8
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Third
192
#60
16.22.1
14.716.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 16.0
8613
#39
32.21.7
28.229.9
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed