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Red86
664727.1
207920.0
50921.8
Blue59
94298.2
125028.4
10831.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080908659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#29
27.11.3
27.228.4
Auto5.2
Teleop20.6
End1.3
blue by 4.3
108
#19
31.40.3
30.029.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End1.9
Second
509
#10
21.81.3
19.220.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
blue by 6.6
1250
#37
28.40.3
27.327.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
2079
#62
20.01.3
15.716.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
red by 11.8
9429
#72
8.20.3
6.46.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed