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Red103
857630.4
661524.8
859228.1
Blue121
958412.9
589541.2
18042.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011150100150103121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#31
30.41.8
26.828.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.9
End3.0
blue by 11.9
180
#3
42.41.5
42.343.8
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
8592
#59
28.11.8
26.428.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.3
blue by 13.1
5895
#12
41.21.5
41.643.1
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Third
6615
#73
24.81.8
23.024.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 11.9
9584
#27
12.91.5
12.914.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned