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Red92
829810.1
821422.7
632853.4
Blue73
354628.7
580935.9
237031.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89104204060801201401601809273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.3
51.151.5
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 17.5
5809
#42
35.91.3
30.429.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
Second
8214
#66
22.70.3
21.922.2
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
blue by 8.4
2370
#38
31.11.3
30.228.9
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
8298
#70
10.10.3
9.09.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 18.6
3546
#50
28.71.3
31.930.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed