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Red81
889116.4
448142.4
771223.5
Blue111
801341.7
81832.2
335738.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791345010015020081111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#14
42.40.2
39.539.7
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
red by 0.7
41.70.2
40.740.5
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
Second
7712
#32
23.50.2
22.622.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 15.4
3357
#17
38.90.2
40.039.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Third
8891
#64
16.40.2
15.615.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 15.7
818
#45
32.20.2
33.733.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed88%Ensemble oddsEarned