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Red93
423039.3
132538.8
362710.6
Blue105
167123.3
427033.4
815925.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937920406010012014093105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.4
38.338.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End3.4
red by 5.8
4270
#26
33.42.1
29.731.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End5.8
Second
38.80.4
35.635.9
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
red by 13.2
8159
#44
25.62.1
21.023.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Third
3627
#68
10.60.4
8.79.0
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End1.3
blue by 12.7
1671
#36
23.32.1
22.224.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned