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Red118
8839.4
589541.2
801341.7
Blue111
448142.4
237031.1
632853.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137136110120130150160170118111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.3
41.741.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
blue by 11.7
53.40.3
52.652.3
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
5895
#12
41.20.3
41.340.9
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
blue by 1.2
4481
#14
42.40.3
41.641.3
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Third
88
#24
39.40.3
39.439.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1
red by 8.3
2370
#38
31.10.3
30.830.5
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6