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Red98
335738.9
490929.9
18042.4
Blue119
68736.0
580935.9
204641.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251208010014016098119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
42.40.4
42.842.4
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 0.6
41.80.0
40.240.2
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
Second
3357
#17
38.90.4
39.338.9
Auto10.6
Teleop25.1
End3.1
red by 2.9
687
#28
36.00.0
34.534.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
Third
4909
#11
29.90.4
30.329.9
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 6.1
5809
#42
35.90.0
34.434.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6