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Red195
441449.5
312831.8
3343.9
Blue95
594049.2
19535.5
81832.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13713010012016018019595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.8
48.849.6
Auto18.1
Teleop25.6
End5.9
red by 0.3
49.20.5
49.749.2
Auto15.7
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Second
33
#1
43.90.8
43.244.0
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
red by 8.4
195
#63
35.50.5
36.135.5
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Third
3128
#23
31.80.8
31.131.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
blue by 0.4
818
#45
32.20.5
32.732.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5