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Red131
632853.4
237031.1
448142.4
Blue109
18042.4
490929.9
335738.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012380100160180200131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.1
52.452.6
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 11.0
180
#3
42.40.2
43.142.8
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
4481
#14
42.40.1
41.441.6
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
red by 3.5
3357
#17
38.90.2
39.639.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Third
2370
#38
31.10.1
30.630.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
red by 1.3
4909
#11
29.90.2
30.630.3
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3