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Red117
441449.5
312831.8
3343.9
Blue151
801341.7
589541.2
8839.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137133100120160180117151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.1
48.948.8
Auto18.1
Teleop25.6
End5.9
red by 7.8
41.70.6
41.141.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
Second
33
#1
43.90.1
43.443.2
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
red by 2.7
5895
#12
41.20.6
40.641.3
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Third
3128
#23
31.80.1
31.331.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
blue by 7.6
88
#24
39.40.6
38.839.4
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1