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Red96
335738.9
490929.9
18042.4
Blue95
594049.2
19535.5
300634.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251370501002002503003509695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
42.40.4
43.543.1
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
blue by 6.8
49.20.7
50.549.8
Auto15.7
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Second
3357
#17
38.90.4
40.039.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.1
End3.1
red by 3.3
195
#63
35.50.7
36.836.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Third
4909
#11
29.90.4
31.030.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 4.8
3006
#18
34.70.7
35.434.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.4
End2.8